custody rails remains the swing factor for carry strategies
Mapping custody rails against miner behavior is a simple way to stress-test a thesis.
Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.
Against the backdrop of “Kraken Parent Payward Takes AAVE Stake as Institutions Look Deeper Into DeFi” and “Elliptic Traces $124M in Bitcoin Swaps From Binance Hack Funds”, positioning still matters more than slogans.
When books are thin, narratives look stronger than they are.
Meanwhile, miner behavior can either confirm the move or expose it as temporary.
Markets rarely move for a single reason.
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