user retention is rewriting assumptions about basis compression

Ignoring liquid staking because basis trades looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Even when feeds obsess over “CFTC clears stock perpetual futures for trading on US exchanges,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.

Historically, stretches where user retention leads without support from stablecoin velocity invite sharper reversals.

Treat liquid staking as the constraint and basis trades as the amplifier, not the other way around.

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