cycle psychology is rotating through basis compression
Historically, stretches where cycle psychology leads without support from open interest invite sharper reversals.
The edge is often just refusing to confuse volume with conviction.
Put beside current chatter on “Justin Sun Accuses Trump,” the incentive problem looks clearer.
The loudest story is not always the decisive one.
Historically, stretches where dollar strength leads without support from rate-cut expectations invite sharper reversals.
The loudest story is not always the decisive one.
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